Baseball America is tipping their hand about many of their favourite prospects
1. David Price, lhp, Rays (first round, No. 1 overall)
2. Jason Heyward, of, Braves (first round, No. 14)
3. Mike Stanton, of, Marlins (second round, No. 76)
4. Matt Wieters, c, Orioles (first round, No. 5)
5. Mike Moustakas, 3b, Royals (first round, No. 2)
6. Madison Bumgarner, lhp, Giants (first round, No. 10)
7. Matt Moore, lhp, Rays (eighth round, No. 245)
8. Rick Porcello, rhp, Tigers (first round, No. 27)
9. Freddie Freeman, 1b, Braves (second round, No. 78)
10. Jordan Zimmermann, rhp, Nationals (second round, No. 67)
11. Jarrod Parker, rhp, Diamondbacks (first round, No. 9)
12. Brett Cecil, lhp, Blue Jays (sandwich round, No. 38)
13. Danny Duffy, lhp, Royals (third round, No. 96)
14. J.P. Arencibia, c, Blue Jays (first round, No. 21)
15. Devin Mesoraco, c, Reds (first round, No. 15)
16. Tommy Hunter, lhp, Rangers (sandwich round, No. 54)
17. Nick Hagadone, lhp, Red Sox (sandwich round, No. 55)
18. Julio Borbon, of, Rangers (sandwich round, No. 35)
19. Chris Withrow, rhp, Dodgers (first round, No. 20)
20. Jake Arrieta, rhp, Orioles (fifth round, No. 159)
21. Casey Crosby, lhp, Tigers (fifth round, No. 181)
22. Austin Romine, c, Yankees (second round, No. 94)
23. Travis d'Arnaud, c, Phillies (sandwich round, No. 37)
24. Matt LaPorta, 1b, Brewers (first round, No. 7)
25. Mitch Moreland, 1b, Rangers (17th round, No. 530)
26. Derek Norris, c, Nationals (fourth round, No. 130)
27. Jonathan Lucroy, c, Brewers (third round, No. 101)
28. Todd Frazier, of/3b, Reds (sandwich round, No. 34)
29. Matt Dominguez, 3b, Marlins (first round, No. 12)
30. Ben Revere, of, Twins (first round, No. 28)
The Rangers stand out for having the most players on the list (three), as well as the lowest-drafted player, No. 530 overall pick Mitch Moreland. Eighteen teams are represented in the retroactive first round, including 11 with multiple players. The next four players who just missed the cut were Red Sox lefthander Drake Britton (23rd round, No. 714), Padres lefty Cory Luebke (sandwich round, No. 63), Brewers righthander Cody Scarpetta (11th round, No. 341) and Phillies outfielder Michael Taylor (fifth round, No. 173).
Here are Keith Law's Top 25 Prospects still in minors
1. Domonic Brown, OF, Philadelphia. Previous ranking: No. 7
2. Desmond Jennings, OF, Tampa Bay. Previous ranking: No. 5
3. Mike Trout, OF, LA Angels. Previous ranking: No. 14
4. Dustin Ackley, 2B, Seattle. Previous ranking: No. 8
5. Martin Perez, LHP, Texas. Previous ranking: No. 6
6. Jesus Montero, C/DH, NY Yankees. Previous ranking: No. 9
7. Aroldis Chapman, RHP, Cincinnati. Previous ranking: No. 10
8. Jeremy Hellickson, RHP, Tampa Bay. Previous ranking: No. 11
9. Aaron Hicks, OF, Minnesota. Previous ranking: No. 13
10. Casey Kelly, RHP, Boston. Previous ranking: No. 12
11. Julio Teheran, RHP, Atlanta. Previous ranking: No. 63
12. Brett Wallace, 1B, Toronto. He actually has cooled off since his huge April, but continues to hit for average with lots of doubles and walks, and he's murdering left-handed pitching. Previous ranking: No. 15
13. Logan Morrison, 1B, Florida. Previous ranking: No. 16
14. Tyler Matzek, LHP, Colorado. Previous ranking: No. 18
15. Shelby Miller, RHP, St. Louis. Previous ranking: No. 21
16. Zack Britton, LHP, Baltimore. Previous ranking: No. 17
17. Eric Hosmer, 1B, Kansas City. Previous ranking: No. 23
18. Lonnie Chisenhall, 3B, Cleveland. Previous ranking: No. 26
19. Arodys Vizcaino, RHP, Atlanta. Previous ranking: No. 43
20. Kyle Gibson, RHP, Minnesota. Previous ranking: No. 20
21. Mike Moustakas, 3B, Kansas City. Previous ranking: No. 25
22. Jarred Cosart, RHP, Philadelphia. Previous ranking: NR
23. Brett Lawrie, 2B, Milwaukee. Previous ranking: No. 47
24. Jordan Lyles, RHP, Houston. Previous ranking: No. 60
25. Michael Pineda, RHP, Seattle. Previous ranking: NR
Just missed
Wilmer Flores (NYM), Matt Moore (TB), Austin Romine (NYY)
Deleted
Lars Anderson (Prev. 24), Michael Taylor (Prev. 19), Josh Vitters (Prev. 22)
The number of US born players in MLB is increasing
The percentage of Major League Baseball players born outside the 50 states dipped slightly from last year.
It was 27.7 percent at the start of this season, down from 28 percent on Opening Day in 2009.
The commissioner's office said Tuesday that of the 833 players on rosters at the end of Monday, 231 were born outside the 50 states. That was down from a high of 29.2 percent in 2005.
The Dominican Republic leads with 86 players in the majors. That's five more than last year but two fewer than in 2008 and down 12 from 2007. Venezuela was next with 58, an increase of six from last year.
Puerto Rico was third with 21, a decrease of seven, followed by Japan (14), Canada (13), Mexico (12), Cuba (seven), Panama (five), Australia (four), Taiwan (three) and Colombia, Curacao, South Korea and Nicaragua (two each).
The New York Mets had the most foreign-born players for the fourth time in five years and had a record high of 18, including natives of Canada, the Dominican Republic, Japan, Mexico, Panama, Puerto Rico and Venezuela.
The Chicago Cubs, Colorado Rockies, Los Angeles Angels, Los Angeles Dodgers and Texas Rangers have 10 apiece.
There were 3,370 of 7,026 minor leaguers born outside the 50 states, with the percentage increasing to 48.0 from 47.8 last year.
Here are Rob Neyers Predictions
Not that anybody should take predictions too seriously, but I put some time into these so I may as well share on this day of days ...
AL EAST
1. Yankees - 96 wins
2. Red Sox - 94
3. Rays - 91
4. Orioles - 74
5. Blue Jays - 68
I was tempted to push the Red Sox past the Yankees after last night's game, but didn't mostly on principle. It's a funny thing, somebody asked me last night which I would choose to win the World Series: the Yankees or the field. The Yankees are one of the last contending teams I would choose because ... Well, that's not really right. But they're far from the first, simply because there are two teams in their own division that are good enough that there's a reasonably good chance the Yankees won't even qualify for the playoffs. I mean, they probably will. But you disregard Tampa Bay at your own peril.
AL CENTRAL
1. Twins - 85
2. Indians - 81
3. White Sox - 77
4. Tigers - 76
5. Royals - 72
The Twins would have been big favorites if they hadn't lost Joe Nathan. Now they're just favorites. And yes, the Indians went 67-95 last year. But somebody has to be this year's big surprise, right? Fausto Carmona, Travis Hafner and Grady Sizemore all played exceptionally well in spring training. The Indians have a new manager. I'm just saying, don't be shocked if they do something amazing.
AL WEST
1. Rangers - 85
2. Mariners - 82
3. Angels - 80
4. Athletics - 79
Frankly, this is purely a numbers thing. I look at a lot of team projections in March, throw everything into an Excel file and see what comes out. And the Rangers are the only team that projects to win more than about 84 games. Which isn't the way it will actually happen. Somebody's going to win (at least) 87 or 88 games to win the division. I think the Rangers are going to be that team, and I would have bumped them up a couple of notches except I couldn't figure who to bump down. (My other reservation is that the Angels have so often exceeded their projections that they'll probably make me look foolish yet again.)
NL WEST
1. Rockies - 86
2. Dodgers - 85
3. Diamondbacks - 83
4. Giants - 79
5. Padres - 73
Same thing as in the American League West: You think it has to be the Dodgers, who won 95 games last season and didn't get appreciably worse over the winter. But the Rockies grade out higher this season. Obviously, this is a three-team race if Brandon Webb comes back soon (and strong).
NL CENTRAL
1. Cardinals - 91
2. Reds - 81
3. Cubs - 80
4. Brewers - 80
5. Astros - 72
5. Pirates - 72
If there's a non-competitive division in the majors, it'll be this one. The Reds don't have the right manager for their young talent, the Cubs are old and getting older, the Brewers don't have the pitching, and the Astros and the Pirates are rebuilding (even if the Astros don't know it yet).
NL EAST
1. Phillies - 89
2. Braves - 88
3. Mets - 80
4. Marlins - 79
5. Nationals - 73
When I first started fooling around with the standings a couple of weeks ago, I had the Braves finishing ahead of the Phillies. Since picking the Phillies second (or third) and getting killed by the Phans has become something of an annual tradition in these parts, I was not displeased. But as more numbers came in and I thought about these clubs and how the Phillies added Roy Halladay and the Braves subtracted Javier Vazquez, I wound up putting the Phillies on top for the first time ever.
Which means this is probably the year they don't win.
Rob is never afraid of sticking out his neck
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Baseball America Top 100
1 Jason Heyward, of, Braves
2 Stephen Strasburg, rhp, Nationals
3 Mike Stanton, of, Marlins
4 Jesus Montero, c, Yankees
5 Brian Matusz, lhp, Orioles
6 Desmond Jennings, of, Rays
7 Buster Posey, c, Giants
8 Pedro Alvarez, 3b, Pirates
9 Neftali Feliz, lhp, Rangers
10 Carlos Santana, c, Indians
11 Dustin Ackley, of/1b/2b, Mariners
12 Alcides Escobar, ss, Brewers
13 Justin Smoak, 1b, Rangers
14 Madison Bumgarner, lhp, Giants
15 Domonic Brown, of, Phillies
16 Starlin Castro, ss, Cubs
17 Martin Perez, lhp, Rangers
18 Jeremy Hellickson, lhp, Rays
19 Aaron Hicks, of, Twins
20 Logan Morrison, 1b, Marlins
21 Ryan Westmoreland, of, Red Sox
22 Aroldis Chapman, lhp, Reds
23 Tyler Matzek, lhp, Rockies
24 Casey Kelly, lhp, Red Sox
25 Kyle Drabek, lhp, Blue Jays
26 Jacob Turner, lhp, Tigers
27 Brett Wallace, 3b/1b, Blue Jays
28 Chris Carter, of/1b, Athletics
29 Michael Taylor, of, Athletics
30 Michael Saunders, of, Mariners
31 Lonnie Chisenhall, 3b, Indians
32 Freddie Freeman, 1b, Braves
33 Christian Friedrich, lhp, Rockies
34 Wade Davis, lhp, Rays
35 Matt Moore, lhp, Rays
36 Jarrod Parker, lhp, Diamondbacks
37 Josh Bell, 3b, Orioles
38 Derek Norris, c, Nationals
39 Mike Montgomery, lhp, Royals
40 Aaron Crow, lhp, Royals
41 Jason Castro, c, Astros
42 Tanner Scheppers, lhp, Rangers
43 Todd Frazier, of/2b/3b, Reds
44 Nick Hagadone, lhp, Indians
45 Yonder Alonso, 1b, Reds
46 Dee Gordon, ss, Dodgers
47 Casey Crosby, lhp, Tigers
48 Chris Withrow, lhp, Dodgers
49 Zack Wheeler, lhp, Giants
50 Shelby Miller, lhp, Cardinals
51 Julio Teheran, lhp, Braves
52 Grant Green, ss, Athletics
53 Donavan Tate, of, Padres
54 Reid Brignac, ss, Rays
55 Jared Mitchell, of, White Sox
56 Jennry Mejia, lhp, Mets
57 Simon Castro, lhp, Padres
58 Wilson Ramos, c, Twins
59 Brett Lawrie, 2b, Brewers
60 Tyler Flowers, c, White Sox
61 Kyle Gibson, lhp, Twins
62 Ike Davis, 1b, Mets
63 Zach Britton, lhp, Orioles
64 Jason Knapp, lhp, Indians
65 Alex White, lhp, Indians
66 Dan Hudson, lhp, White Sox
67 Tim Beckham, ss, Rays
68 Alex Colome, lhp, Rays
69 Arodys Vizcaino, lhp, Braves
70 Josh Vitters, 3b, Cubs
71 Jhoulys Chacin, lhp, Rockies
72 Mike Leake, lhp, Reds
73 Jiovanni Mier, ss, Astros
74 Brett Jackson, of, Cubs
75 Josh Reddick, of, Red Sox
76 Austin Jackson, of, Tigers
77 Fernando Martinez, of, Mets
78 Chad James, lhp, Marlins
79 Tony Sanchez, c, Pirates
80 Mike Moustakas, 3b, Royals
81 Travis d’Arnaud, c, Blue Jays
82 Jaff Decker, of, Padres
83 Adam Moore, c, Mariners
84 Hank Conger, c, Angels
85 Mike Trout, of, Angels
86 Austin Romine, c, Yankees
87 Lars Anderson, 1b, Red Sox
88 Wilmer Flores, ss, Mets
89 Mat Gamel, 3b, Brewers
90 James Darnell, 3b, Padres
91 Jordan Lyles, lhp, Astros
92 Drew Storen, lhp, Nationals
93 Phillippe Aumont, lhp, Phillies
94 Miguel Sano, ss/3b, Twins
95 Andrew Cashner, lhp, Cubs
96 Thomas Neal, of, Giants
97 Peter Bourjos, of, Angels
98 Jay Jackson, lhp, Cubs
99 Jake Arrieta, lhp, Orioles
100 Noel Arguelles, lhp, Royals
I think they have chosen too many long-shots
There are plenty of good prospects in AAA and AA
Antonio Bastardo is an example of a guy who has shown he can perform
but is not on the list
